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The Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET), a food security arm of the USAID, has predicted above-normal rainfall for March.
In its latest food security outlook covering the February to September 2023 period, FEWS NET noted that during January and February, most northern areas of the country received good rainfall. 
However, in most southern areas, especially Masvingo, Matabeleland South, parts of Manicaland and Midlands and also <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Matabeleland_North_Province">Matabeleland North Province</a>, rainfall was erratic and poorly distributed. FEWS NET said in its update:
<blockquote>
Normal to above-normal rainfall is expected across the country through March, which is likely to support average crop production if it is well distributed across the remainder of the season. Crop recovery is expected in typical deficit-producing areas that recorded earlier dry spells. However, affected areas may record lower-than-expected yields.
The 2022/23 cropped area for maize and small grains in some southern areas is likely to be below last year, though likely near-normal. The potential area reflects poor rainfall progression in some areas, as well as access challenges to crop inputs. Crop input prices are expected to remain significantly above average both in United States dollars (US$) and Zimbabwe dollars (Zim dollar).
</blockquote>
<h2>Also in the update:</h2>
<blockquote>
1). After the harvest in April/May, maize grain prices are expected to drop before rising through September as own-produced stocks deplete and market demand rises.
2). Parallel market exchange rates will keep Zim dollar maize prices above normal in most markets throughout the projection period.
3). Maize meal supply across the country is expected to be normal throughout the outlook period. 
4). Commercial millers are likely to continue relying on either <a href="https://www.pindula.co.zw/Grain_Marketing_Board">GMB</a> purchases or their own imports of maize grain through March/April.
5). With the start of the harvests in April, maize grain imports are likely to stop or be suspended. The government is likely to maintain the suspension of maize meal imports instituted in November 2022 to protect local millers from cheap imports.
6). Agricultural labour opportunities are expected to improve with the favourable rainfall forecast through March across the country, but liquidity challenges and the below-normal 2022 harvest will limit cash and in-kind payments.
7). Water access and availability for livestock and other livelihoods are expected to improve across the country through the end of the rainy season. However, rivers and reservoirs in some drier parts of the country are expected to be below normal levels, negatively impacting availability and access during the dry season.
8). Beyond the rainy season, pasture conditions in arid areas are likely to quickly deteriorate. 
9). Livestock disease prevalence will likely remain high due to above-average prices and limited access to drugs. 
10). Income from livestock sales will continue to be impacted by liquidity challenges, poor demand, and poor care practices that impact livestock body conditions.
</blockquote>
<h2><a href="https://zero.pindula.co.zw/">More Pindula News</a></h2>

Pindula News

USAID Has Predicted Above-normal Rainfall For March

Businesses have largely ignored the government’s threat to punish firms trading exclusively in United States dollars as most of them are involved in the practice, according to the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWS NET).
In the past few months, the government has announced regulations that prohibit companies from pricing their goods and services exclusively in foreign currency.
While a few big firms are trading in both foreign currencies and the Zim dollar, the rest of the market is trading exclusively in foreign currency as the local currency remains volatile. In its report for July, FEWS NET said:
<blockquote>
Despite the government’s calls to benchmark commodity prices using interbank rate and despite the increasing risk of losing operating licences if they use exclusive USD pricing, most businesses have continued to pursue USD transactions to limit financial losses.
</blockquote>
In July, the local currency (the Zimbabwe dollar) continued to depreciate sharply against the USD with the auction exchange rate climbing to US$1:$416 as of July 29 from US$1:$366 at the end of June and the interbank exchange rate increasing over the same period to US$1:$443 from US$1:$365.
<blockquote>
However, the parallel market exchange rate saw the steepest increase, jumping to around US$1:$800 at the end of July from US$1:$650 one month earlier.
Although the Zimbabwean economy is a multi-currency system, with (the Zimbabwe dollar), (South African rand) and USD in regular use, there is a growing demand in both the formal and informal sectors for payments to be only in foreign currencies, given the volatility of the (Zimbabwe dollar).
Furthermore, there are fears of shortages for some commodities if manufacturers, wholesalers and retailers hold back supplies and choose not to sell unless they are able to do so in USD.
</blockquote>
The price of fuel has been going down marginally over the past few weeks but on Friday, the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT) said annual inflation increased to 257% in July, from 191% in June.
According to FEWS NET, most poor households earn income in Zimbabwe dollars and have limited access to USD and exclusive USD pricing has eroded their purchasing power and access to food.
People in rural areas are reportedly slowly resorting to bartering using grains and livestock to access certain goods or services.
More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2022/08/companies-defy-govt-threats-on-usd-pricing/">NewsDay</a>

Business Defies Govt Threats On Exclusive USD Pricing

Many families from drought-prone Matabeleland South are facing hunger and starvation as their available food stocks have dropped sharply. 
According to a Zimbabwe Vulnerability Assessment Committee (ZimVAC) 2021 Rural Livelihoods Assessment Report, fifty per cent of households in Matabeleland South have less than three months’ supply of food stocks.
The government says Matabeleland South’s Social Welfare office will next week identify potential beneficiaries of the food relief programme set to resume in October after being suspended in April.
In the latest update on Tuesday, the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (Fews Net) warned that household food access in “deficit areas” was declining as “own produced food stocks become exhausted”. The Fews Net report read:
<blockquote>
In typical deficit-producing areas, households’ own-produced food stocks are depleting with some poor households having already exhausted their stocks. Stressed (integrated food security phase classification (IPC Phase 2) outcomes continue in these areas with crisis (IPC Phase 3) expected to emerge in October as more households likely rely on markets for food.
Minimal (IPC Phase 1) is expected across surplus-producing areas, though some areas will deteriorate to Stressed (IPC Phase 2) with the progression of the lean season. Most urban areas are anticipated to remain stressed (IPC phase 2) throughout the outlook period due to continue below-average purchasing power.
</blockquote>
The IPC phases describe households’ food security levels with IPC phase five identified as a situation where families are facing extreme food shortages.
The report noted that the food shortages in the region were being compounded by the high cost of living in the country, and consecutive years of drought in recent years. 
Fews added that pasture and livestock conditions, especially cattle, are also deteriorating due to compounding effects of previous droughts, including poor regeneration of grasses.
More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2021/09/mat-south-villagers-face-hunger/">NewsDay</a>

Drought-prone Matabeleland South Faces Hunger

Staple food prices are expected to go down in several countries in southern Africa including Zimbabwe as a result of above-average yields from the 2020/21 summer cropping season.
This was revealed in an update by the Famine Early Warning Systems Network (FEWSNET) for May. The report read in part:
<blockquote>Regional staple supplies are expected to above-average across much of Southern Africa. Average to above-average production in Malawi, Zimbabwe, Lesotho, Zambia, and South Africa will likely drive the decline in staple food prices with prices likely to be lower than in 2020 across the region.
In Malawi, March maize grain prices were up to 50 per cent below last year and up to 30 per cent below the five-year average.
Similar trends are observed in non-conflict affected areas of Mozambique, where maize grain prices decreased by 11 to 46 per cent lower than their respective 2020 prices.
This is expected to improve household access to staple foods on the market.</blockquote>
Zimbabwe is expected to harvest 2.7 million tonnes of maize during, the highest yield in 20 years, the Second Round Crop and Livestock Assessment report shows.
Traditional grains production is estimated at 347 968 tonnes, which is an increase of 128 per cent compared to the 152 515 tonnes produced by farmers in the 2019/2020 season.
<h4>More: <a href="https://fews.net/southern-africa/key-message-update/may-2021" rel="noopener" target="_blank">FEWSNET</a></h4>

Staple Food Prices Expected To Fall

The Zimbabwe government’s extending of lockdown restrictions indefinitely further threatens the incomes of many households who depend on the informal sector, USAID food security arm, FEWS NET has said. In its new May update, FEWS NET said:
<blockquote>In mid-May, the government indefinitely extended some restrictions to curb the spread of COVID-19 while reviewing the measures every two weeks.
Under the restrictions, national borders remain closed except for essential formal imports and returning citizens. Privately-owned transport services, inter-city, and rural-urban public transport remain banned.
While formal businesses are allowed to re-open, restrictions on the informal sector continue. Many urban households relying on the informal sector have seen a significant decrease or complete loss of this income source.</blockquote>
On May 16, President Emmerson Mnangagwa announced an indefinite extension of COVID-19 lockdown restrictions, with businesses in the formal sector allowed to re-open on the condition that they put measures in place to curb the spread of coronavirus.
However, the informal sector remains banned when an estimated 70% of the economy relies on this sector.
<h4>More: <a href="https://www.newsday.co.zw/2020/06/lockdown-restrictions-threaten-informal-sector/" rel="noopener noreferrer" target="_blank">NewsDay</a></h4>

Indefinite Lockdown Threatens Informal Sector

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